• deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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    1 year ago

    Pretty clearly shows why there’s no future for nuclear power.

    Even for filling gaps in renewables, peaker plants are getting cheaper and don’t take 15 years to build.

    • Vendetta9076@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      This is always a weird take to me because it always ignores the fact that nuclear has been screwed continuously for decades. If any other tecbology, renewable energy or not, had the same public and private blockers did it would also have no future.

      • grue@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        it always ignores the fact that nuclear has been screwed continuously for decades

        On the contrary: I’d say it implicitly relies on that fact, which is why the argument that it takes 15 years to build is valid. Because nuclear has been screwed, there’s no pipeline of under-construction plants coming online any sooner than that.

        It may not be fair that nuclear’s been screwed, but that doesn’t change history. The only thing that matters is what’s better when construction is starting in 2023.

      • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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        1 year ago

        Nuclear has been screwed by its own track record.

        Why do you think its had such a wide coalition of public and private opponents?

              • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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                1 year ago

                Actually I do. I was a nuclear booster in the 1990’s because it means cheap limitless pollution free power.

                Except that they don’t actually deliver on that promise. You can have safe nuclear or cheap nuclear, but if it’s safe it’s not cheap, and the public rightfully won’t accept something that can require evacuating hundreds of square miles for decades.

                So wise one, where are those cheap safe nuclear power plants we keep hearing about since 1950?

                • moomoomoo309@programming.dev
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                  1 year ago

                  In France. They standardized the designs so each one isn’t a one-off and they trained more people to work in the field.

                  • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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                    1 year ago

                    indeed. just order like 100 SMRs and all the problems go away. problem is the psychos would rather build gas plants and fund dictators

                  • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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                    1 year ago

                    Those are not at all cheap and are subsidized by enrichment for weapons purposes.

                    France is trying to extend their service lifetime beyond what they were designed for because they can’t face the bill to replace them with newer reactors.

                • Vendetta9076@sh.itjust.works
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                  1 year ago

                  So the user above me actually gave the the answer so kudos to them but to further answer your question, there are no actually cheap reactors because the fight to actually build one is so insanely expensive. Where I live they’d been trying to build a reactor for over a decade. Constant lawsuits and legal battles after already obtaining permits and everything. Its ballooned the cost by tenfold. Why? Because of constant NGO pressure from the likes of greenpeace. So congrats, you win. They aren’t cheap cause of the hell we’ve made for ourselves.

                  • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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                    1 year ago

                    high speed rail and subways have the same problem. it’s not inherently expensive, rich people sue and sue until it’s too expensive

                  • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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                    1 year ago

                    You’re blaming everyone else for nuclear’s failures.

                    Why are even French nuclear plants badly over budget and late? Answer: Nuclear is expensive as fuck.

        • dinckel@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          “I’ve ignored and circumvented every known safety measure, and everything went wrong” - Whoever the fuck said that, 2023

            • dinckel@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              We have extensively documented history supporting exactly what you’re trying to argue against

            • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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              1 year ago

              if you cite chernobyl that’s exactly what you’re saying. it’ll never happen again because no one’s that dumb

              • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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                1 year ago

                Fukushima happened in “smart” Japan because it was cheaper to put the backup generators in the basement than to build a concrete podium taller than the tsunamis that previously hit the site.

                Capitalism will always choose cost over safety. Even then nuclear ends up going way over budget.

                • irmoz@reddthat.com
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                  1 year ago

                  Then we shouldn’t leave energy security and the climate in the hands of capital. Energy should be nationalised.

                  • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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                    1 year ago

                    indeed. also chernobyl and fukushima aren’t comparable, really. I’d support a law that all new power reactors need to have passive cooling relying on the laws of physics, not relying on external power, but that’s not a high bar and many designs already have it. remember that most currently operating reactors were built all at once in the mid 20th century and even then their safety record has been great. we can do better with new construction

        • 𝒍𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒏@lemmy.one
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          1 year ago

          Has there been a scenario where the technology itself is to blame? The contamination aspect of nuclear waste is well known and preventable, if costs are being cut on radioactive waste disposal (or in the case of a certain Japanese power company, ignoring warnings from the government on how to reduce ocean contamination in the event of an earthquake) a nuclear installation’s fate is sealed…

          As far as I can see, the only downsides with nuclear IMO is that it takes multiple decades to decommission a single plant, the environmental impact on that plant’s land in the interim, and the initial cost to build the plant.

          In comparison to Solar it sounds awful, but before solar, nuclear honestly would have made a lot of sense. I think it may even still be worth it in places that have a high demand for constant power generation, since Solar only generates while the sun’s about, and then you’re looking at overnight energy storage with lithium-based batteries, which have their own environmental and humanitarian challenges

          • Welt@lazysoci.al
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            1 year ago

            Uranium powered fission technology, not all nuclear. Look into Thorium

            • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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              1 year ago

              yeah you can do throium, and there are some compelling reasons to, but uranium is fine enough. anti-nuke isn’t about actual technical enlargements. the anti nukes hate nuclear fusion too

        • MrEff@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and-future-generation/plans-for-new-reactors-worldwide.aspx

          “Today there are about 440 nuclear power reactors operating in 32 countries plus Taiwan, with a combined capacity of about 390 GWe. In 2022 these provided 2545 TWh, about 10% of the world’s electricity.”

          https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/safety-and-security/safety-of-plants/safety-of-nuclear-power-reactors.aspx

          There have been two major reactor accidents in the history of civil nuclear power – Chernobyl and Fukushima Daiichi. Chernobyl involved an intense fire without provision for containment, and Fukushima Daiichi severely tested the containment, allowing some release of radioactivity.

          Yes- a track record of one plant failing due to Soviet incompetence and political blunders; and the second failing due to checks notes a 9.0 magnitude almost direct earthquake and ensuing 133 ft tsunami.

          • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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            1 year ago

            the earthquake didn’t even damage the plant, they thought of that. the tsunami knocked out the power lines and bad generator placement led to loss of power for cooling. build reactors to passively cool themselves (which should just be a mandatory safety feature on new reactors tbh, it’s not a big ask and improves safety a lot) and fukushima type accidents become impossible. that plant was so old that the original operating license was going to expire a week after the quake and the only guy who died had a heart attack. fukushima-sized death tolls happen in the rooftop solar installation industry every year, totally unreported.

        • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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          1 year ago

          you mean the part where it generated a shit ton of carbon free reliable power while killing fewer people per watt-hour what any other method? with outdated 60’s technology too? yeah sure sounds like a failure

    • monobot@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      And it is always a question how they calculated handling of nuclear waste.

      There are options, we can use coal and natural gas for on demand power to fill the gaps in renewables, we don’t have to quit all at once. New ideas for energy storage and comming around, some of them might be useful for small towns, others for remote places.

      • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        there is very very very little nuclear waste.this is complete handwringing. it can be buried and forgotten.

        Bigger issue is the carbon costs and pay back periods. Nuclear (unless you’ve got sources otherwise stating) is green in it’s planning phase but not as often in execution. A shit ton of concrete is used, and the plants rarely operate at the capacity they are expected to (or have in the past). Open to revision but that’s my current understanding.

        They are a massive upfront carbon cost and only become carbon neutral or negative relative to fossil fuels 20+ years down the line.

      • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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        1 year ago

        nuclear waste, by definition of being radioactive, is the only wast that goes away on it’s own if you leave it sit for long enough

        • Knusper@feddit.deOP
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          1 year ago

          I was considering whether this is just a shitpost, but your other comments suggest that you’re completely serious. It does not go away. Radioactive decay causes multiple transitions between radioactive elements until it ends up as lead, which does not decay further.

          Of course, it should also be said that it’s better to have no waste than waste that eventually turns into lead.
          And that it’s still better to have waste than waste which also happens to be toxic.

          • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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            1 year ago

            right, but when it lands at lead it’s no longer radioactive waste, which is the part everyone’s scared of. chemical waste doesn’t just go away like that.

    • usrtrv@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I think that’s too simplistic of a view. Part of the high cost of nuclear is because of the somewhat niche use. As with everything, economies of scale makes things cheaper. Supporting one nuclear plant with specialized labor, parts, fuel, etc is much more expensive then supporting 100 plants, per Watt.

      I can’t say more plants would drastically reduce costs. But it would definitely help.

        • hswolf@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Of course It is, the incompetent and ignorant people that try to hinder it’s use is the problem

          • deegeese@sopuli.xyz
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            1 year ago

            The nuclear industry is 100% responsible for the operational record of the nuclear industry.

          • gmtom@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Cool, so you’re either going to have to completely get rid of all the nimbys and people that don’t understand nuclear, then build a massive population of qualified workers to build them and staff them and then fund them in the hundreds of billions for at least 2 decades to build up the knowledge base required to be able to build them quickly and efficiently.

            Or accept the reality that nuclear is dead in the water.

            • SaltySalamander@kbin.social
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              1 year ago

              Reading comprehension isn’t really your strong suit, eh? “The incompetent and ignorant people that try to hinder it’s use is the problem”

              • Turun@feddit.de
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                1 year ago

                If you are hired to do a task and then overrun the budget by 14B$ I wouldn’t exactly call it furthering the cause. More like incompetence and/or trying to detail the project.

      • Knusper@feddit.deOP
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        1 year ago

        The source article actually talks about this and measured data suggests nuclear cost actually went up, despite more capacity being built.

        This is the first time, I’ve read this anywhere. More sources/studies would be really important. And there is lots of interpretations to be had on the why, but assuming the article isn’t completely off the mark, that’s cold, hard data suggesting that your (perfectly reasonable) assumption is actually wrong, after all.

        • usrtrv@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          Interesting, I’ll have to look at the source article.

          But as far as I’m aware the total amount of nuclear power has been decreasing in recent years. This might change with China’s future plants.

          I’ve also read about small modular reactor designs gaining traction, which would help alleviate the heavy costs of one off plants we currently design and build.

          Not saying the source is wrong, just saying that’s what I used to form my opinion.

        • Uranium3006@kbin.social
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          1 year ago

          bullshit regulatory costs can increase infinitely without nay change to the underlying engineering or economics. that’s 100% the cause of the price increses

          • Knusper@feddit.deOP
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            1 year ago

            Possible. But well, whether these regulations actually are bullshit or not, kind of doesn’t matter. A dumb solar panel won’t ever need to be regulated as much. If that’s what makes it cheaper, it still is cheaper.

    • bouh@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      This chart is worthless, so it doesn’t show anything. Like 2 data points for this? Seriously? And there was a pandemic and a war since then…