The concept of “elite overproduction” was developed by social scientist Peter Turchin around the turn of this century to describe something specific: too many rich people for not enough rich-person jobs. It’s a byproduct of inequality: a ton of poor people, sure, but also a superfluity of the wealthy, without enough positions to house them in the influence and status to which they think themselves entitled. In a modern context, that would mean senior positions in the government and civil service, along with the top tier of finance and law, but Turchin tested the hypothesis from ancient Rome to 19th-century Britain. The names and nature of the contested jobs and titles changed; the pattern remained. Turchin predicted in 2010 that by the 2020s it would be destabilising US politics.

Turchin didn’t specify exactly how much wealth puts you in a situation with an overproduced elite, but he didn’t mean debt-laden students; he didn’t mean MPs; he meant, for brevity, billionaires or the top 1%. When a lot of your media are billionaire-owned, those media sources become endlessly inventive in taking the heat off billionaires, nipping criticism in the bud by pilfering its vocabulary and throwing it back at everyone.

Elon Musk could never have got himself elected into office in the US. But as the cost-cutting tsar, a made-up role Trump has promised him, he would exert extraordinary power to cause pain, with the only choice left to citizens being whether or not to hug it. Another billionaire donor, John Paulson, has been floated for the treasury secretary job, and Trump has a track record of rewarding big-ticket donors with a seat at the table – the billionaire Stephen Schwarzman boasted in print about his role in the new North America Free Trade Agreement negotiations in 2018, and as part of Trump’s “strategic and policy forum” during the 2017 administration.

  • WalnutLum@lemmy.ml
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    5 hours ago

    The thesis also elicited that elite overproduction tends to favor political change in the dispossessed elite’s favor

    It posits most revolutions, including communist revolutions, were pushed by elites who weren’t given the station they were promised.

    • LovableSidekick@lemmy.world
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      3 hours ago

      That’s what will happen to the Trumpublican Party when its figurehead is gone. They’ll spend years clawing each other to pieces to fill the yuge void.

  • Zombiepirate@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    One billionaire is an excess.

    One cannot earn that much money without exploiting workers.

    • jettrscga@lemmy.world
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      11 hours ago

      I’d argue against the word “earn” even. One cannot earn one billion dollars at all.

      Nobody deserves $1 billion when it would take a teacher about 20,000 years to make the same amount. And it’s not earned if it’s not deserved.

      But that’s just semantic ranting, you’re right.

      • pearsaltchocolatebar@discuss.online
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        5 hours ago

        While I agree, billionaires don’t just have a 10+ figure checking account. Most of their networth is in non-liquid assets.

        Which is why we should tax unrealized gains over a certain amount, and loans against those unrealized gains.

  • foggy@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    When people say humans are bad at big numbers and you see all those “this is how big a billion is!” They do indeed pack a punch.

    This one packs the biggest, to me, though.

    • turmacar@lemmy.world
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      2 hours ago

      As much as I love Tom Scott and it’s a fantastic visual/temporal representation, I doubt a lot of people have the patience.

      I like “1 Million seconds is 11 days, 1 Billion seconds is 31 years” as a more succinct example.

      One person earning $3600/hr, 24/7, without spending any of it, would take 31 years to become a billionaire.

  • IninewCrow@lemmy.ca
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    13 hours ago

    You call this news? Or new information?

    It’s always been like this … it was more discreet before … now it’s just blatant.