I believe it but reporting was done based on a single internet survey with self reported answers.
Ifop study forNYC.eu*** ***conducted by online self-administered questionnaire from 14 to 17 March 2025 among a representative national sample of 1,000 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over.
I was wondering how did they measure economic impact this fast, hence I was interested in the source of this claim. People lie in surveys and say things that make them look better, even anonymously. A lot of modern speech is aspirational in general - we say things we want to be true but aren’t necessarily true, wishing them into existence.
By this argument, we should never trust any survey outcome because we can never be 100% sure that no one lied. Even in personal interviews, people can lie.
Yeah, I don’t trust such surveys at all. Phone surveys tend to improve things a bit but internet polls are very hit or miss even under strict protocol. We’ll know true impact in a couple of months when statistics bureaus publish something more concrete and in the meantime we can approximate based on things like quarterly fiscal reports and some broader macroeconomic data.
People upvote this post because it makes them feel good even though nothing concrete was presented, which pretty much proves how unreliable humans are ;)
I believe it but reporting was done based on a single internet survey with self reported answers.
If it was a random representative sample, what difference does it make that it was conducted online?
I was wondering how did they measure economic impact this fast, hence I was interested in the source of this claim. People lie in surveys and say things that make them look better, even anonymously. A lot of modern speech is aspirational in general - we say things we want to be true but aren’t necessarily true, wishing them into existence.
By this argument, we should never trust any survey outcome because we can never be 100% sure that no one lied. Even in personal interviews, people can lie.
Maybe I missed the point?
Yeah, I don’t trust such surveys at all. Phone surveys tend to improve things a bit but internet polls are very hit or miss even under strict protocol. We’ll know true impact in a couple of months when statistics bureaus publish something more concrete and in the meantime we can approximate based on things like quarterly fiscal reports and some broader macroeconomic data.
People upvote this post because it makes them feel good even though nothing concrete was presented, which pretty much proves how unreliable humans are ;)