This is all old articles. Of course, the trajectories put out there are the same, but you need to follow what’s happening on the ground

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-7-2023

What’s possible and not possible will be shown this summer.

Mearsheimer is not a military expert, so he has no idea how the war will turn out. Even if we accept he’s an expert on politics, the actual situation on the ground will affect the future more. I’d rather listen to what generals say

I use gnome, but it’s basically the worst DE, except all of the other ones that have been tried

It has the least features, so by default the least bugs.

I’m questioning his expertise. Every time he says “Russia wouldn’t do that” Russia does it. And he is still considered an expert despite several claims of how Russia:

1. Wouldn’t try to annex more of Ukraine after Crimea (did it)
2. Could only have limited military aims in Ukraine (went straight for the capital)
3. The rest of the former Soviet republics would support Russia (big oof, everyone but Belarus refused to support Russia)

At this point, you just have to say he’s gotten everything wrong, but continues to double down

No, even if you study all your life, it won’t let you predict the future. People study stocks all their lives and they still can’t beat a simple stock index in the long term. So stop listening to articles that make wrong predictions.

Like Mearshimer who in 2014 predicted Putin had no further territorial ambitions in Ukraine. Yet Putin annexed further regions in Ukraine, despite this “expert” studying stuff.

I’m in Beijing right now, last month good, but this spring was pretty bad

Depends, for animation there’s no artifacts say that size

Maybe try watching a 1080p HEVC or AV1 episode, 200MB for half an hour or 400MB for an hour and it looks amazing

Just because you study something doesn’t mean you magically know the future. Stop following “experts” and form your own opinion

Why should I believe those people? Who made them experts?

Watch the actual developments on the ground, don’t listen to propaganda. Russian telegram channels tell you how the war is going, don’t need a guy to pretend to know the future

They have mobilized 300,000 troops last year. It’s news to Russia that they didn’t contest it, since they fought for and lost Pyatyhatky, just now fighting for and losing Zherebyanky.

There are intense battles in Orikhiv area, but that could go either way. If Russia loses anything “they are not even trying”?

No position to take any territory back? How about the 300km^2 they took back already this summer?

Easy to mix and match package versions with different dependency versions

It’s not their own territory

I’m wondering why flatpaks don’t work for command-line tools

NixOS has NUR, but it’s not necessary because they take everyone’s pull requests in the official repo. I’ve been maintaining the software I use myself on the official nixpkgs, so I don’t need to use the NUR.

Or maybe the best year?

I recently bought a domain. But it’s for a year, it might take the government all of a year to approve it, and by that time the domain name renewal would be more expensive.

ISPs also don’t necessarily host sites

I google things on brave search all the time

It was super easy on Windows, but even easier on NixOS where I just set it up without any GUI, just enabled it and that’s it