• 1 Post
  • 38 Comments
Joined 19 days ago
cake
Cake day: September 6th, 2025

help-circle
  • IronBird@lemmy.worldtomemes@lemmy.worldThe Ouroboros
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    47 minutes ago

    to keep is simple, as I don’t know just how much you know (and I’m still very new myself tbh)

    it’s all purposefully complicated with obscure rules and exceptions, all specifically meant to trip up new “players”, breaking some in the wrong way can land you in prison, while a slight variation might be perfectly fine.

    what helped me the most is understanding just how truly rigged the whole thing is, and what helped the most there was a book called Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, everything in it applies frighteningly well to modern day markets even though it was written over 100 years ago.

    the biggest most important lesson is…look at everything like a scam designed specifically to extract as much $ from you as possible (which, is especially in low overall-trading volume levels like now, is 100% true. that’s fundamentally what bubbles are, people deliberately running the price of stocks up). it’s a zero-sum game, in order for you to gain someone else has to lose.

    whether that’s bonds, stocks, futures, whatever.

    but…there are 2 very fundamental rules that always reassert themselves eventually.

    1. the true value of the underlying security, and if a company doesnt pay out a dividend…that means it’s stock is functionally worthless

    2. the line MUST go up/down eventually

    the more of a disconnect between those 2 things there is, the more someone who knows 1 can take advantage of someone who only thinks in terms 2.

    and the best way to do that (for plebs atleast) is…exercising stock-options. the US market, contrary to…literally every other market on earth, has this little rule that allows you to exercise options early.

    so for example, say someone sells you a put option on SPY 3 years out, strike…780. right now that’d cost about 12,500/contract to buy. if you bought that and SPY dropped under 655 anytime in the next 3 years…you could exercise it immediately for a profit.

    right now spy is 658…a 3 point drop between now and 3 years out…that’s practically guaranteed. free $.

    but when someone executes those contracts on you, if you don’t have the underlying, 1 of 2 things happens…you start paying your broker interest to borrow the underlying (at an ever increasing rate) or they forcibly close your position, which if your over-leveraged enough means…you get liquidated.

    the issue is though, in a bubble, when everything is overvalued…how to do you safely play the casino without owning the underlying?



  • idk about that, made them more confident…sure. but look at all these local/state elections, flipping seats that have been solidly/establishment-D for decades to independents/progressives.

    people are turning out in record numbers to vote for independents/progs would suggest that the “Left” in america isnt dead…maybe they’ve just been demoralized from decades of disappointment and Trump and Co. was the wakeup call they needed

    not trying to dismiss your concern, things are bad and they are probably only going to get worse for the forseeable furure…but…giving up is exactly is the first/biggest move these psychopaths have, it’s a truly insidious system we’ve managed to imprison ourselves in…


  • i’m doing my part to accelerate this collapse, by taking whatever liquidity i can out of the system for myself. have extracted my yearly salary in just the last 2 month alone, just by buying calls and puts (practically zero risk, i don’t dare short stuff when everything is so massively overpriced)

    soonwe i am 100% financially independent the sooner i can dedicate 100% of my time to undermining this abomination we have created in the states

    my plan is to spam the overloving shit out of affordable, high quality, high density housing anywhere and everywhere i can (forcefully urbanizing this country, and undermining all rent-seeking parasites)














  • no, algos and day traders are just exit liquidity

    there are very specific rule-differences between the US and EU stock markets, if you look up and really think about those differences and who benefits most from them…and what it’d look like (on the tape) when/if someone who understands those rules uses them against someone who doesn’t…

    there’s a reason they say the stock market isnt the economy, the stock market originally started as a way to seperate “smart” gamblers from their $.

    Bull markets, when there’s infinite liquidity, is when degenerate gamblers are running the price of everything up up up because they can, because ultimately the current spot-price is set by whoever is willing to risk the most $ at any given point.

    But the more spot-price goes up beyond actual value…the more power and room the real $, whoever has the most capital and lowest cost-basis, has to rugpull those degenerate gamblers.

    that is what market crashes are, the dukes clearing the degenerates off their table

    the master stroke with the US is how expertly establishment politicians have tied the average US workers own wealth to that casino, 401k’s? a dem super-majority under Carter and Rockefeller set that up…enabled a constant stream of bagholding liquidity pumps.

    all forms of debt (like say…insanely expensive college, guaranteed by the government)? more liquidity, and eventually somebody can just buys those and package them off as some ahitty security to be sold. doesn’t matter if they ever actually collect…

    Uncle Sam paying farmers to grow specific amounts of specific crops, then just…destroying them? that insures the farmers are reliant on them, enables the banks give them loans, and lets insiders control the Futures market to make a killing. then when it’s time to rug the farmers to steal their land (cause they can’t pay their loans) and sell it off to corporate interests…just switch the party-in-power and manufacture an economic crisis that cuts those subsidies (long history of doing that, all the way back to the great depression)

    and when the whole house of cards crashes down? just have the government step and add it to sovereign debt crisis, there’s no plan to pay that off anyway afterall…the idea is inflate it away, and what does inflation (read liquidity…) feed into…the stock market, make those lines start going up again to reel in a new generation of suckers

    it’s a big fucking club, and your not in it