Confused. It says she has less than a 50/50 shot at winning the electoral college, but then “a 17% chance of winning the popular vote but losing the Electoral College”
I’m not a statistician, but what fucking math is showing any reasonable chance that Harris loses the popular vote? Because that’s the only way that math checks out.
Electoral win: 0.473
Electoral loss: 1 - 0.473 = 0.527
Electoral Loss + Popular Win = 0.17
I can’t lookup the formula right now, but this indicates that the chance of Harris losing the popular vote is significant
Yeah not for nothing but I’m not gonna bother researching a vague comment like “has ties to” from a random person on the internet to try and discern what they’re talking about. If so I’d be up to my ears trying to figure out who all those people that Trump is refering to when he says “people are saying”