Disagree. Most rational people who are charged with murder (and who did it) take the prosecution’s deal.

However, if none of us are presenting peer reviewed statistics, we are all just making assumptions.

https://www.americanbar.org/news/abanews/aba-news-archives/2023/02/plea-bargain-task-force/

Plea bargaining has become the primary way to resolve criminal cases in the United States, with nearly 98% of convictions nationwide currently coming from guilty pleas.