This is important as Rasmussen is known to be in the tank for Trump.
https://newrepublic.com/post/186444/conservative-poll-rasmussen-secretly-worked-trump-team
https://www.allsides.com/news-source/rasmussen-reports
If THEY’RE stating Harris is +1 in Michigan, it’s more likely +3 to +5.
If Harris gets Iowa the race is over. These races are not truly independent - they are correlated. If Harris picks up Iowa, there’s a very good chance that means she’s swept every swing state.
The more exciting part for me, is what this could all mean for down ticket stuff. Imagine instead of just avoiding fascism, we could actually get good laws passed after this election.
Iowa itself is a lost cause. It’s 75% Republican here. We’re gerrymandered to high hell, so even if Baccam squeaks through, Iowa state legislature won’t look very blue. If it’s 60/40 Republican I’d be absolutely shocked.
But contributing one Senator nationally would be pretty neat.