You need to take into account the political fallout for them to claim either medium or high confidence. I’m sure they were pressured or otherwise had some bias to reduce their assessment in order to preserve relations with China.
I personally find the lab leak theory more compatible with Occam’s Razor than the wet market theory. I don’t think there was an actual conspiracy here to release the virus intentionally though, I think it was leaked accidentally (again, Occam’s Razor). That said, I haven’t seen all the research, nor am I an expert at pathology, I’m merely looking at the motivations for the various parties involved and the research I have seen. Perhaps there’s some compelling evidence and arguments an expert pathologist could provide to change my mind.
You need to take into account the political fallout for them to claim either medium or high confidence. I’m sure they were pressured or otherwise had some bias to reduce their assessment in order to preserve relations with China.
I personally find the lab leak theory more compatible with Occam’s Razor than the wet market theory. I don’t think there was an actual conspiracy here to release the virus intentionally though, I think it was leaked accidentally (again, Occam’s Razor). That said, I haven’t seen all the research, nor am I an expert at pathology, I’m merely looking at the motivations for the various parties involved and the research I have seen. Perhaps there’s some compelling evidence and arguments an expert pathologist could provide to change my mind.