He told the New York Times that he thinks the U.S. will “very likely” find itself in a three-front war with China, Russia, and Iran. As a result, he said, the Pentagon should continue developing autonomous weapons at full speed, pointing to big mismatches in how far the U.S. would be willing to go while fighting a war compared with other countries.
Especially when one of the opponents has several times our population and all opponents are oceans away, besides two of the three being nuclear armed and the third being close. Even with the size of our military, I don’t think that’s a war we would stand a reasonable chance in.
Imo, we are fucked. Ukraine drones show that our aircraft carriers, planes, and tanks are worthless when a 1000 dollar drone can carry munitions to cripple them.
It’s a new world and we aren’t prepared for it.
I wasn’t even thinking about that kind of thing, since drones are something I’m sure we could utilize as well. It’s mostly the sheer production capacity and population that China in particular has. I expect an actual large scale war against them, that both didn’t turn nuclear (since that renders the whole concept of a victor a bit moot) and wasn’t some very quick defensive action like an attempt to defend Taiwan might be (which might end fast enough for production capacity to not matter as much as existing inventory), would end up looking something like Japan’s war against the US during ww2: we might be able to cause a great deal of damage to their military assets at first, but if they can replace their losses much faster than we can, then all they have to to is drag things out enough for the numbers to swing decisively in their favor.
Taiwan invasion is something we should be able to see coming way in advance.
China lacks the amount of landing vessels they would need to mount an invasion.
If they start building hundreds/thousands of landing ships, then we should be concerned
Offshoring all our factories isn’t going to work out well. If only trump wasn’t an idiot, he could have made progress on that over next 10 yrs
Iran would be a non-issue in an actual war with us. Occupying it would be a far different story. Same with Russia. China, on the other hand, would be extremely devastating to both sides.