• Gorilladrums@lemmy.world
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    5 hours ago

    Then you proceed to explain how Jordan IS involved and justify it.

    How are they involved? They’re not with Israel, Iran, or any power in the region. They’re not a part of any conflict. They just react when they’re directly involved. In this case, they shot down missiles that violated their airspace.

    By downing Iranian missiles and letting the debris hit Jordan instead of letting them leave Jordanian airspace.

    I lived in Iraq, I’ve seen Iranian missiles fly over where I lived before. They’re extremely unpredictable. The technology they use for their weapons is unreliable, and because of this a lot of their missiles don’t land where they’re intended. This is why Iran sends massive waves of missiles one after the other even though it’s very wasteful and expensive. They do it because they don’t have the capability to conduct more efficient precision strikes. What this means is that Iranian missiles could hit anywhere, and they have hit Jordanian towns and cities many times before, which ended killing Jordanian civilians.

    Virtually all of Jordan’s cities and towns are located in the very west on the border with Israel/Palestine, and they’re heavily concentrated in the the northwest. Here’s an example population density map to show you how concentrated the country’s population is. As you can see, virtually nobody lives in the eastern two thirds of the country, The Jordanian desert is basically inhabitable. It makes sense for Jordan to shoot down these missiles over the desert where nobody lives instead of shooting them down near population centers or taking the risk of having the missiles of fly over and praying that none hit their cities.

    Stay out of it and don’t invite the US military in (hence making yourself a target), don’t let US military use your airspace, don’t protect Israel, don’t intervene. This isn’t hard. Whether you choose to accept it or not is up to you.

    This is just a piss poor understanding of middle eastern geopolitics in general. The middle east doesn’t work like Europe, countries aren’t afforded a lot of options. It is an unstable region filled with war, religious extremism, tyrannical dictators, bad borders, and scarce resources.

    Jordan is an inherently unstable country. Its borders don’t make sense, around half of its population are refugees, they’re boxed in by imperialist powers in all directions (Israel, Saudi Arabia/UAE, Iran, and Turkey) who all see the country as a part of their playground, and most of the surrounding countries in their position are doing way worse.

    Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq have all done what exactly what you said, and look what that has brought them? They’re all war torn failed states that are ravaged by proxy terrorist groups, ruthless dictators, civil wars, and foreign invasions. Jordan would be brain dead to go down the same path as them.

    The smartest thing they could do is what they’re doing now, which is basically being the Switzerland of their region. They have peaceful relations with all their neighbors, and they won’t partake in any conflict that doesn’t directly involve them in any way outside of diplomacy. This neutrality can only last if it’s guaranteed by a powerful external power, and this happens to be the US in this case. Jordan is unique in it’s neighborhood, but it’s not alone globally. Countries like Iceland, Ireland, Switzerland, Japan, Oman, and so on all get to enjoy being neutral countries because they have US protection.

    Also I like how my prediction of you here…

    You seem like the type of person who will never concede anything no matter how wrong you are,

    …ended up being a prophecy.